After a week off for the holidays, I’ve accepted my fate. The two previous weeks have been desperate attempts at getting back to a winning record. I’m picking games I’m not comfortable picking and the result is as you’d expect in that situation: shitty. Shitty results all across the board – let’s face it, guys. I’ve been a bad picker this season. After four winning seasons, I’ve been humbled like the bitch that I am.
Just have to accept that. So, it’s only going to get worse. With such a limited slate of football left, I’m going to have to start betting on prop bets to try and catch up. I wouldn’t read this column for legitimate betting advice anymore – just watch it for the sheer entertainment value of watching a man on a downward spiral. Watching people crumble is entertainment, right? Anyway, alright – let’s do this. I have to win 17 more than I lose the rest of the season to get above 50%, lolololololololol.
Big Natural’s Picks
NCAAF: Alabama, -6 vs. Clemson – Super surprised this spread isn’t smaller after seeing both of these teams perform in the semi-finals. I was thinking this would be closer to around -4, but hey – Vegas knows what they’re doing. That Fiesta Bowl was Clemson’s best win of the season, and I expect they’ll carry a big game swagger into the National Championship game. I’m a Tide fan, and I’m very worried – still, it’s hard to bet against Nick Saban in these cases.
NCAAF: Alabama-Clemson, OVER 51 – Did you see last season’s game? It was one of college football’s all time classics. I think this game will be similar, with a 42-38 type of score.
NFL: Houston -3.5 vs. Oakland – Well, we saw what Matt McGloin/Connor Cook can do against a good defense and guess what – Houston has a pretty good defense. This could end up being one of the worst playoff games in recent history, and I don’t feel comfortable with this pick at all. Thankfully, it’s the first game up next week, so we’ll get it over with first.
NFL: Houston-Oakland, UNDER 36.5 – Did you see Cincinnati-Houston in week 16? Expect Cincinnati-Houston from week 16.
NFL: Detroit +8 @ Seattle – This game will largely depend on how the Lions respond to a frustrating end to the 2016 regular season. Unless they lay down and die, they have the talent and potential to win this game against a Seahawks team that hasn’t been overly impressive this season. I think Matthew Stafford keeps the Lions in this game by carving up a secondary that sorely misses Earl Thomas.
NFL: Detroit-Seattle, OVER 42.5 – It’s simple – I think this game turns into a shootout in the 2nd half. If not, anything from a 31-14 score to a 24-21 score would suffice. I could see it going either way. Plenty of points to pass around.
NFL: Miami +10 @ Pittsburgh – I love love love love love what Adam Gase has done with these Dolphins. They’ll be competitive in this game because of their defense and running game, but don’t discount Miami’s passing game regardless of who starts at QB. I think this has a chance to be the game of the weekend.
NFL: Miami-Pittsburgh, OVER 47 – Two offenses capable of 30+, yeah – I’m going to go with the over. Don’t feel too good about it, though.
NFL: New York +4.5 @ Green Bay – the Giants in the playoffs? Are you kidding me? Big Blue, baby!
NFL: Green Bay-New York, UNDER 44.5 – I actually don’t think there’s going to be a lot of points in this one. The Giants have a stout defense, and Green Bay frustrated the Lions enough to make me think this one could 20-17.
Last Week: 2-6-1
On the Season: 61-77-8 (44.2%)
Stoney Keeley is the editor of the SoBros Network, Tennessee Titans Featured Analyst for Pro Football Spot, Contributor to FanSided’s Bama Hammer, and covers the WWE for WrestlingNews.co. Follow on Twitter @StoneyKeeley, @PFSpot, @WrestlingNewsCo, @Bama_Hammer
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