Welcome to a Titans at Packers gambling preview via SoBros Network. This will focus on the 2022 NFL Week 11 matchup between the Tennessee Titans and Green Bay Packers. Every week, SoBros Network contributor Joshua Huffman will provide a weekly betting and daily fantasy sports (DFS) guide on Titans games.
Titans at Packers: Week 11 Spread & DFS Gambling Preview (2022)
Introduction
The Packers (4-6) will host the Titans (6-3) during the Week 11 Thursday Night Football game of the 2022-23 NFL season. The Packers snapped a five-game losing streak following a come from behind overtime win against the Dallas Cowboys, 31-28. The Titans won their sixth game out of seven when they enjoyed a comeback win against the Denver Broncos, 17-10. Tennessee’s defense has played as if it’s the NFL’s best. The Packers offense may have found a spark after rookie wide receiver Christian Watson had three touchdown receptions against Dallas.
Early Lines (as of November 15 via FanDuel)
DFS Prices (Thursday Night Solo Game Prices ONLY)
Titans
- RB Derrick Henry $11,600
- QB Ryan Tannehill $9,600
- WR Robert Woods $6,800
- WR Nick Westbrook–Ikhine $6,200
- WR Treylon Burks $5,200
- TE Austin Hooper $4,600
- De Titans $4,400
- RB Dontrell Hilliard $3,200
- TE Chig Okonkwo $2,600
Packers
- RB Aaron Jones $11,200
- QB Aaron Rodgers $10,400
- WR Allen Lazard $8,600
- WR Christian Watson $7,400
- RB A.J. Dillon $6,600
- TE Robert Tonyan $5,800
- De Packers $3,800
- WR Randall Cobb $200 (could return off injured reserve)
Key Injuries
As of Tuesday, each team had 17 players on their injury list.
Titans at Packers: Best Bet, DFS Picks
Second Half UNDER 20.5 (at -120)
I’d expect both teams to rely on a heavy rushing attack that results in clock management. The Titans have the NFL’s worst second half offense averaging 4.8 points but Green Bay isn’t far behind at 7.6 points (27th).
A.J. Dillon OVER 33.5 Rushing Yards (at -114)
No. 1 running back Aaron Jones entered last week’s game against the Cowboys with a shin injury but he managed 26 touches (24 rushes, two receptions) for 156 yards and a touchdown. There was enough leftovers for Dillon to get 13 carries for 65 yards.
On a short week, Dillon should get a large workload. While Dillon won’t repeat his career best game in 2020 (21 rushes for 124 yards and two touchdowns), there’s no reason that he doesn’t reach 33.5 yards on 10-15 carries.
Derrick Henry
The Packers have built their team with a similar mindset to the 2000s Indianapolis Colts: have a high powered offense supported by a defense loaded with pass rushers and opportunistic defensive backs. Green Bay is built to play with a lead. The problem is that the offense rarely has the lead. Opponents break them down with a run heavy approach.
Henry should remain a priority throughout the entire game. As always, the question is whether Tennessee can get enough scoring opportunities to pay off his high salary.
Randall Cobb (questionable, only on single game slates)
Cobb could return as the starting slot receiver. At $200 on single game slates, he’s a great punt option IF HE PLAYS as he’d probably stay away from Kristian Fulton. Cobb had 13 targets in one of his most recent games before the injury.
Titans at Packers: Final Thoughts (Keys to Victory)
Green Bay and Tennessee are the two teams whom I’ve followed the most throughout the years. I wouldn’t put too much emphasis on an upset win against Dallas because Rodgers always elevates his game when he faces the Cowboys or Chicago Bears. The next two weeks are a better indicator of whether Green Bay can make a late push for a wildcard spot.
The 2020 matchup will have no implications here because, even though both teams have some of the same players, Tennessee’s defense is MUCH better now than two years ago. While this game could go either way, Green Bay has put themselves in a position where they need to win at least six of their last seven games to feel good about a playoff chance. Tennessee has built a sizable division lead so an out-of-conference loss won’t hurt them too much. The only tiny chance of them not winning the AFC South and getting a home playoff game is if the Colts go on a huge run with interim head coach Jeff Saturday.
Tennessee has the better overall team but Green Bay is more desperate and has the home-field advantage in a Thursday Night Football game that should approach 20 degrees Fahrenheit. My guess is that Green Bay would win at least six out of 10 times.
What Are Your Thoughts on Titans at Packers? Comment Below!
Joshua Huffman provides Tennessee Titans and broad sports coverage for SoBros Network. He has a personal blog, Armchair Prudence. His content has been published on websites including Yahoo! Sports (via Contributor Network) and Titan Sized.
