Welcome to a Titans at Colts gambling preview via SoBros Network. This will focus on the 2022 NFL Week 4 matchup between the Tennessee Titans and Indianapolis Colts. Every week, SoBros Network contributor Joshua Huffman will provide a weekly betting and daily fantasy sports (DFS) guide on Titans games.
Table of Contents
- Titans at Colts: Week 4 Spread & DFS Gambling Preview (2022)
- Titans at Colts: Best Bet, DFS Picks
- Titans at Colts: Final Thoughts (Keys to Victory)
Titans at Colts: Week 4 Spread & DFS Gambling Preview (2022)
Introduction
The Titans (1-2) and Colts (1-1-1) enter a pivotal Week 4 matchup where the winner has a great chance to finish the week as the AFC South leader. This is Tennessee’s first divisional game while it’s Indianapolis’s third. The Colts can’t afford to finish one-half of their divisional schedule without securing a win. They’ve lost their last three meetings against Tennessee including both games in 2021.
Tennessee enters this game coming off a very Jekyll and Hyde performance against the Las Vegas Raiders. After jumping out to a 24-10 halftime lead, the Titans couldn’t muster anymore offense as they held on to win 24-22. Through the first three weeks, Tennessee has been outscored 57-7 during the second half of games.
Indianapolis quieted critics when they opened their home schedule with a 20-17 win against a Kansas City Chiefs team that many project as an AFC Super Bowl favorite. This came as a surprise when one considers how the Jacksonville Jaguars just shutout Indianapolis a week before, 24-0.
Early Lines (as of September 30, via FanDuel)
DFS Prices
Titans
- RB Derrick Henry $8,300
- QB Ryan Tannehill $5,500
- WR Robert Woods $5,200
- RB Dontrell Hilliard $4,900
- WR Treylon Burks $4,700
- TE Austin Hooper $3,100 (questionable)
- TE Geoff Swaim $3,000
- De Titans $2,500
Colts
- RB Jonathan Taylor $8,800
- WR Michael Pittman Jr. $7,200
- WR Matt Ryan $5,600
- RB Nyheim Hines $5,000
- WR Alec Pierce $3,900
- WR Parris Campbell $3,400
- De Colts $3,000
- TE Mo Alie-Cox $2,700
- TE Jelani Woods $2,600
Key Injuries
Titans at Colts: Best Bet, DFS Picks
Michael Pittman, Alec Pierce
Tennessee has a HUGE void at No. 2 outside cornerback. Las Vegas wide receiver Mack Hollins was the No. 4-5 option in an offense that featured wide receiver Davante Adams, tight end Darren Waller, running back Josh Jacobs, and No. 2 tight end Foster Moreau (slot wide receiver Hunter Renfrow was out due to injury). Yet, Hollins enjoyed a career day as the No. 2 outside receiver while mostly facing off against newly signed Titans cornerback Terrance Mitchell. Hollins had eight receptions for 158 yards and a touchdown.
The question here is whether Tennessee shadows Pittman with No. 1 cornerback Kristian Fulton. According to Pro Football Focus WR/CB matchup chart, Fulton has played 84 percent of his snaps at right cornerback while Mitchell played 90 percent of his snaps at left cornerback. If that trend continues, Mitchell should see 60-70 percent of his snaps against Pierce. Against the Chiefs, Pierce had three catches for 61 yards. At $3,900, he’s definitely worth a look. Pittman should get some looks against Mitchell or reserve cornerback Caleb Farley.
One big concern is the amount of vultures. A perfect example is Colts rookie tight end Jelani Woods. After two games without a target, Woods had two touchdown catches against Kansas City. For better or worse, Indianapolis has a diversified attack.
I’d stay away from slot receiver Parris Campbell. Campbell is at risk of losing his job as he has done nothing through the first three weeks. His matchup against rookie nickelback Roger McCreary is the least favorable on the receiving unit.
One last warning about this recommendation: there is a chance that Tennessee could move McCreary to No. 2 outside cornerback. He’s similar to former cornerback Logan Ryan in that he’s versatile enough to play inside or out…and has done so. Tennessee just seems to prefer to have him inside.
Jonathan Taylor, Derrick Henry
The usage is there for both superstar running backs. It’s just a matter of whether it pops or not. Play them but don’t get carried away because this has the potential as a lower scoring game that would limit their touchdown potential.
Titans at Colts: Final Thoughts (Keys to Victory)
Who knows what you’re getting from either of these teams? Neither of them have established an identity. I’d stay as far away as possible from betting this game because neither team has shown any consistency whether it’s on a game-to-game or half-to-half basis. The 42.5 total is almost perfect. The Colts should win this game but I’d say it’s more like a 55/45 chance. I’m definitely not giving -3.5 points. Tennessee has a history of playing very well as an underdog although they didn’t show that in a 41-7 Week 2 loss against the Buffalo Bills.
What Are Your Thoughts on Titans at Colts? Comment Below!
Joshua Huffman provides Tennessee Titans and broad sports coverage for SoBros Network. His personal blog, Armchair Prudence, offers sports editorials and a gambling diary that should help new DraftKings / FanDuel / MGM bettors. His content has been published on websites including Yahoo! Sports (via Contributor Network) and Titan Sized.
